top of page
renewable_edited.jpg

GHG MITIGATION AND CITIES

THE RISE OF POSITIVE ENERGY DISTRICTS

Lessons from Europe and Africa

1  The Expanding Role of Cities

By Dr. Adam Hearn  & Fadeke  Ayoola, FCCA

  1 Faculty of Business & Economics, University of Basel Petersplatz 1 · 4051 Bâle

  2 NET Africa, Boulevard du Régent 54, 1000 Bruxelles, Belgium

1

2

Chapter Contents

Introduction: Cities

What is a Positive Energy District (PED)?

Considerations for Cities & Communities

Building Blocks

Municipal Problem Solving

Citizen Engagement

Cities

Cities are becoming the defining spaces of human life—economically, socially, and environmentally. Their rapid growth, especially in Africa and Asia, places them at the centre of both the climate crisis and the solutions needed to address it. Urban areas concentrate people, infrastructure, emissions, and vulnerability, making them pivotal actors in global sustainability efforts.

Rapid urban population growth is reshaping the global landscape, with the share of people living in cities projected to reach 68% by 2050—a historic demographic shift. [1]This expansion will be concentrated primarily in Africa and Asia, where economic transitions, rural–urban migration, and high population growth are accelerating urbanisation. While this shift creates significant opportunities for innovation, employment, and improved access to services, it also places immense pressure on infrastructure, housing, and ecological systems. As cities grow faster than many governments can plan or invest, the challenges of sustainability, equity, and resilience become increasingly urgent. Why this matters?

Fast‑growing cities often lack the planning capacity and financial resources needed to manage expansion sustainably, leading to development that outpaces infrastructure and service provision. As a result, informal settlements tend to grow rapidly, placing millions of people in areas highly exposed to climate hazards such as flooding, extreme heat, and water scarcity. In this context, urban governance becomes a decisive factor in shaping resilience and equity, as the ability of city institutions to plan, regulate, and invest effectively determines whether urban growth deepens vulnerability or supports inclusive, climate‑resilient development.

Image by Manidip Mandal

Cities are major contributors to climate change because they concentrate people, infrastructure, and economic activity in very small geographic areas. [2]Although they occupy only 2% of the world’s land, they consume more than 78% of global energy and generate over 60% of greenhouse gas emissions, largely from buildings, transport, and industry. This high emissions profile is driven by dense economic activity, energy‑intensive lifestyles, and the substantial demand for cooling, heating, lighting, and mobility. Urban consumption patterns amplify material and resource use, while long‑lasting infrastructure—once built—locks cities into specific energy and transport systems for decades. Together, these factors make cities both powerful drivers of global emissions and critical arenas for climate mitigation.

Urban areas sit on the frontline of climate impacts, facing intensified risks such as heatwaves, flooding, storms, sea‑level rise, and widespread infrastructure failures. The urban heat island effect further amplifies temperatures, heightening health risks and increasing energy demand, especially in densely built environments. Vulnerability is most acute in low‑income and informal settlements, where limited resources and inadequate infrastructure reduce adaptive capacity. These climate pressures deepen existing social inequalities, as those least responsible for emissions often bear the greatest burdens. Disruptions to critical services—transport, water and energy—affect millions of urban residents, while economic losses accumulate rapidly because so many assets, livelihoods, and infrastructure systems are concentrated in cities.

 

Cities, despite their many challenges, are uniquely positioned to lead global climate action because their density, governance structures, and innovative capacity allow them to implement transformative solutions quickly and at scale. Their compact form enables efficiency through public transport, district energy systems, and more sustainable housing models, while their role as innovation hubs fosters technological and policy experimentation that can be replicated globally. Local governments—often more agile than national administrations—can act swiftly through city networks and mayoral leadership. This creates significant opportunities for climate mitigation and resilience, including green building design and retrofits, electrified and low‑carbon transport systems, nature‑based solutions such as urban forests, wetlands, and green roofs, and the adoption of circular economy models. By investing in climate‑resilient infrastructure and forward‑looking urban planning, cities can become powerful drivers of sustainable development and central actors in the global response to climate change.

Eco-Friendly Buildings

The strategic importance of African and Asian cities lies in the fact that most future urban growth will occur in these regions, meaning the global climate trajectory will depend heavily on how they develop. If these cities adopt high‑carbon, sprawling models, global emissions will rise sharply and lock in unsustainable patterns for decades. Conversely, if they leapfrog to compact, transit‑oriented, renewable‑powered forms of development, they can avoid carbon lock‑in while significantly improving quality of life. At the same time, major investments in resilience are essential to protect rapidly growing populations from escalating climate risks.

Cities are both drivers of climate change and victims of its impacts, but they are also the most powerful sites for transformative action. Their growing populations, concentrated emissions, and economic importance make them central to any global climate strategy. The choices made today—especially in African and Asian cities—will shape the planet’s environmental and social future for generations.

What is a Positive Energy District (PED)?

 

[3] A Positive Energy District (PED) is defined as an urban area where the built environment, sustainable energy production and consumption, and mobility systems are integrated to reduce energy use and greenhouse gas emissions while creating added value and incentives for residents. A PED is built on three main pillars: high energy efficiency, yearly net positive renewable energy production, and strong energy flexibility that allows the district to adapt to changing energy demands and grid conditions. Its guiding principles emphasise quality of life, inclusiveness—with particular attention to affordability and the prevention of energy poverty—and long term sustainability. Together, these elements position PEDs as forward looking models for climate neutral, people centred urban development.

Key Considerations for Cities and Communities

[4] A dedicated budget for sustainable development signals strong political commitment and practical readiness, enabling cities to move beyond aspirational goals toward concrete action. 

With clear financial allocation, municipalities can plan long term, support pilot projects, fund community engagement, and attract external investment from national governments, development banks, and private partners. However, such budgeting also raises challenges, particularly for communities worried about high costs and affordability. Residents may fear that sustainability spending will increase taxes, raise utility bills, or divert funds from essential services such as housing, healthcare, and education. These concerns are especially acute in low‑income areas where financial pressures are already high. Without careful design, sustainability investments can even have regressive effects—for example, building retrofits that improve efficiency but lead to higher rents. Balancing these tensions requires transparent communication, strong governance, and a clear demonstration of how sustainability investments can reduce long‑term costs, create jobs, and improve quality of life for all residents.

[5] Cities must understand and incorporate national and regional regulations that promote carbon neutrality—such as building codes, renewable energy mandates, and emissions standards. Effective integration ensures compliance, reduces legal risks, and accelerates local climate action. Cities that proactively align with these regulations often gain access to incentives, technical support, and innovation programmes that strengthen their sustainability efforts. However, integrating carbon‑neutrality regulations also presents challenges. Some municipalities struggle with the complexity of new rules, especially when they lack technical expertise or administrative capacity. Developers and businesses may resist stricter standards due to higher upfront costs, and communities sometimes worry that compliance will increase housing prices or slow down construction. Despite these concerns, well‑designed regulations can drive long‑term savings, improve building quality, and reduce energy poverty—making the balance between ambition and affordability a central task for city governments.

A deep understanding of a city’s energy system—its generation sources, distribution networks, consumption patterns, peak loads, and vulnerabilities—is essential for effective planning. Cities require accurate data on electricity grids, heating and cooling networks, renewable energy potential, and demand profiles to design Positive Energy Districts, plan for energy flexibility, and identify opportunities for efficiency and decarbonisation. When cities possess strong energy system knowledge, they can make informed decisions, reduce risks, and target investments where they will have the greatest impact. For example, Helsinki’s detailed mapping of its district heating system enabled a strategic shift toward geothermal and waste‑heat recovery. However, there are also challenges. Many municipalities lack the technical expertise or data infrastructure needed to fully understand their energy systems, leading to blind spots in planning. Data may be fragmented across private utilities, making access difficult or costly. In some cases, outdated or incomplete information results in poor investment decisions, such as installing renewable systems in areas with grid constraints or underestimating peak‑load vulnerabilities. Smaller or resource‑constrained cities may struggle even more, as they often depend on national utilities that do not prioritise local data sharing. These limitations can slow down decarbonisation efforts and increase the risk of inequitable outcomes if vulnerable neighbourhoods are overlooked. Ultimately, while strong energy system knowledge empowers cities to act strategically and confidently, the lack of it can hinder progress and create long‑term inefficiencies that are difficult to reverse.

[6] Municipal ownership or co‑ownership of utilities—such as energy, water, transport, and waste services—can be a major advantage for cities pursuing sustainability goals. Public companies give municipalities the ability to steer investments toward long‑term environmental objectives, coordinate across sectors, and ensure that essential services remain affordable for residents. They can also pilot innovative solutions more easily than private actors, who are often constrained by short‑term profit expectations. For example, Stockholm’s city‑owned energy company enabled the rapid expansion of district heating using waste heat, while Vienna’s public housing and utilities have been central to its low‑carbon urban development model. However, public or co‑owned companies also come with challenges. They may face bureaucratic delays, slower decision‑making, or political interference that limits innovation. In some cases, public utilities lack the financial flexibility or technical expertise of private firms, making it harder to modernise infrastructure or adopt new technologies. There is also a risk that poorly managed public companies can become financially burdensome for municipalities, diverting funds from other priorities. Conversely, fully privatised utilities may prioritise profit over equity, leading to higher prices or reduced access for vulnerable households. Ultimately, while public or co‑owned companies can be powerful tools for advancing sustainability and affordability, their effectiveness depends on strong governance, transparent management, and a clear long‑term vision shared across political cycles. [7] Achieving carbon neutrality requires sufficient land for renewable energy infrastructure such as solar fields, geothermal systems, district heating plants, storage facilities, and grid upgrades, making land availability a critical factor in urban energy planning. Cities must assess rooftops, brownfields, public spaces, and underused sites, and increasingly rely on multi‑use solutions such as solar carports, green roofs, and integrated energy systems to overcome spatial constraints. When land is available and strategically planned, cities can deploy large‑scale renewable projects—such as Freiburg’s solar districts or Reykjavik’s geothermal fields—that significantly reduce emissions and enhance energy security. However, land scarcity can limit ambition, especially in dense cities where competing needs for housing, transport, and green space create tension. In some cases, renewable installations may face public resistance due to concerns about aesthetics, noise, or land displacement, as seen in debates over wind farms in peri‑urban areas. Additionally, acquiring land can be costly or politically sensitive, particularly where ownership is fragmented or informal. These challenges mean that cities must balance energy infrastructure needs with social, environmental, and economic priorities, ensuring that land‑use decisions support both climate goals and community well‑being.

 

 

 

 

[1]

References

 

[1] 2018 Revision of World Urbanization Prospects produced by the Population Division of the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA)​​

[2] https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/climate-solutions/cities-pollution

[3] https://jpi-urbaneurope.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/PED-Booklet-Update-Feb-2020_2.pdf

[4] https://makingcity.eu/the-project/

 

[5] PEDTool

[6] Lovati, M., Huang, P., Olsmats, C., Yan, D., & Zhang, X. (2021). Agent based modelling of a local energy market: A study of the economic interactions between autonomous PV owners within a micro-grid. Buildings, 11(4), 160.

[7] Kozlowska, A., Guarino, F., Volpe, R., Bisello, A., Gabaldòn, A., Rezaei, A., ... & Di Pilla, L. (2024). Positive Energy Districts: fundamentals, assessment methodologies, modeling and research gaps. Energies, 17(17), 4425.

[2]
bottom of page